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Gold retreats as dampened Fed rate cut hopes dent appeal
  + stars: | 2024-04-29 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
One kilo gold bars are pictured at the plant of gold and silver refiner and bar manufacturer Argor-Heraeus in Mendrisio, Switzerland, July 13, 2022. Gold prices slipped on Monday as hopes for early interest rate cuts this year dampened, while focus shifted to the Federal Reserve policy meeting and U.S. non-farm payrolls data due this week for further clarity on monetary policy. "Short term, gold is facing some challenges given the likely delayed timeline for rate cuts. The Federal Reserve's policy meeting from April 30-May 1 and the non-farm payrolls data due on Friday are key for markets this week. The Fed is seen holding its benchmark interest rate steady at 5.25%-to-5.5% at this meeting.
Persons: Tim Waterer, Jerome Powell, Waterer Organizations: Federal Reserve, KCM Trade, Investors, People's Bank of, Citi Locations: Mendrisio, Switzerland, People's Bank of China
The recent gold rally is counterintuitive, as high interest rates typically make bullion less attractive. But billionaire investor David Einhorn has a theory that he shared in his latest investor letter. Einhorn suggests that gold's rally is potentially due to countries in the East buying gold from Western nations. To explain the strong run for gold, billionaire investor David Einhorn offered a potential theory in his latest letter to investors published this week. Others, like billionaire investor Ray Dalio, say gold can hedge risks stemming from high government debt levels.
Persons: David Einhorn, Einhorn, , there's, David Rosenberg, Ed Yardeni, Ray Dalio Organizations: Service, Federal, Greenlight, World Gold, People's Bank of Locations: China, People's Bank of China, India, Singapore
China's consumers and its central bank are snapping up gold, even as a falling yuan makes the metal pricier. AdvertisementChina's central bank has also been buying up gold, in much larger quantities than Gen Z's few grams of beans. Related storiesIn 2023, China's central bank bought 225 tons of gold, per the World Gold Council. The two economies have been jostled in the top spots for years, but China's buying spree last year put India behind. Advertisement"The amount of central bank buying is not justifying gold prices at current levels," she wrote.
Persons: , It's, Georgette Boele Organizations: Service, Bloomberg, People's Bank of China, Gold, World Gold Council, ABN AMRO Locations: China, China's, India, Poland, Singapore, Germany
Vcg | Visual China Group | Getty ImagesBEIJING — China's latest policy to boost demand will soon have a greater effect on growth, a top official at the economic planning agency told reporters Thursday. "We believe this work will achieve bigger and bigger results," he said in Mandarin, translated by CNBC. He noted that equipment upgrades account for 9% to 10% of total GDP. 'Strong' central government fiscal supportIn terms of fiscal funding for those upgrades, Zhao said the central government would provide "strong support." Part of the equipment upgrade and consumer trade-in policy also focuses on improving standards for the kinds of products that can be used.
Persons: That's, Zhao Chenxin, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Zhao, Bruce Pang, Fu Jinling, Fu, Francoise Huang, We're, JLL's Pang, Shan Zhongde Organizations: Visual China, Getty, BEIJING, National Development, Reform Commission, CNBC, Analysts, People's Bank of, Allianz Trade, Ministry of Industry, Information Technology, Ministry of Housing, Ministry of Commerce, State Administration, Market, China's Ministry of Commerce, Industry, Global Locations: Qingzhou, Weifang City, Shandong Province, China, oversupply, Beijing, JLL, People's Bank of China
U.S. considers easing warnings for Americans traveling to China
  + stars: | 2024-04-10 | by ( ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
The U.S. and China flags are seen at the People's Bank of China prior to the arrival of U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen in Beijing on April 8, 2024. Pedro Pardo | AFP | Getty ImagesThe U.S. is considering easing advisories against its citizens traveling to China, Deputy Secretary of State Kurt Campbell said on Tuesday, acknowledging concerns that the warnings may have curtailed exchanges between Americans and Chinese people. The State Department has periodically issued tiered warnings for Americans traveling to China, calling on them to reconsider visits or exercise increased caution due to risks of "arbitrary enforcement of local laws," exit bans and wrongful detentions. Despite China's warnings, hundreds of thousands of Chinese students study in the United States compared with only a few hundred Americans in China. "We have told China directly if this continues, it will have an impact on the U.S.-China relationship.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Pedro Pardo, Kurt Campbell, Campbell Organizations: U.S, People's Bank of, Treasury, AFP, Getty, China Relations, State Department, . Locations: China, People's Bank of China, U.S, Beijing, Washington, Ukraine, United States, Moscow
U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen shakes hands with China's Vice Premier He Lifeng before a dinner in the southern Chinese city of Guangzhou, on April 5, 2024. U.S. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen comments on China's excess manufacturing capacity seek to rehash "China threat" rhetoric and appear to create a pretext for more protectionist policies from the U.S., Chinese state media said. "Talking up 'Chinese overcapacity' in the clean energy sector also smacks of creating a pretext for rolling out more protectionist policies to shield U.S. companies," Xinhua said. Yellen met with Vice Premier He Lifeng and Guangdong Province Governor Wang Weizhong in Guangzhou after arriving in China late on Thursday. She is to travel on Saturday to Beijing, where she will meet officials including Premier Li Qiang and People's Bank of China Governor Pan Gongsheng through Monday, according to a Treasury press advisory.
Persons: Janet Yellen, Yellen, Guangdong Province Governor Wang Weizhong, Premier Li Qiang, Pan Gongsheng Organizations: Treasury, China's, Xinhua, Lifeng, Premier, People's Bank of China Locations: Guangzhou, U.S, Washington, China, Xinhua, Guangdong Province Governor, Beijing
Retail sales rose 5.5%, better than the 5.2% increase forecast in a Reuters poll, while industrial production climbed 7%, compared with estimates of 5% growth. Investment into real estate fell by 9% in the first two months of the year from a year ago. National Bureau of Statistics Spokesperson Liu Aihua said that real estate remains in a period of "adjustment," according to a CNBC translation of his statement in Mandarin. New loans in February missed expectations and fell from the prior month, "even after adjusting for seasonality," Goldman Sachs analysts said in a report Friday. Chinese authorities did not reveal significant new support for the massive real estate sector during an annual parliamentary meeting that ended last week.
Persons: Liu Aihua, Liu, Ting Lu, Goldman Sachs, Pan Gongsheng, Goldman Organizations: Pudong New, Investment, National Bureau of, CNBC, China, People's Bank of China, Reuters Locations: Dongyu, Qiantan, Pudong, Pudong New Area, Shanghai, China, BEIJING, Real, Beijing
New bank lending in China fell more than expected in February from a record high the previous month, even as the central bank seeks to spur sluggish economic growth and fight deflationary pressures. New bank lending in China fell more than expected in February from a record high the previous month, even as the central bank seeks to spur sluggish economic growth and fight deflationary pressures. Outstanding yuan loans grew 10.1% from a year earlier — the lowest on record — compared with 10.4% growth in January. Analysts polled by Reuters had predicted new yuan loans would fall to 1.50 trillion yuan in February from 4.92 trillion yuan the previous month and against 1.81 trillion yuan a year earlier. Chinese banks made 6.37 trillion yuan in new yuan loans in the first two months of 2024, data released by the central bank showed on Friday.
Organizations: People's Bank of China, Analysts, Reuters, ING, Consumer Locations: Beijing, China
A man walks past the People's Bank of China (PBOC) building on July 20, 2023 in Beijing, China. (Photo by Jiang Qiming/China News Service/VCG via Getty Images China News Service | China News Service | Getty ImagesAsia-Pacific markets were set to fall after producer prices in the U.S. grew faster than expected in February, coming in at 0.6% last month. Excluding food and energy prices, core PPI climbed 0.3% in February. Economists polled by Dow Jones had expected a 0.3% gain for headline PPI and a 0.2% increase for the core reading. Investors in Asia will be watching out for any news from Japan's spring wage negotiations, with first estimates expected to come out later in the day.
Persons: Jiang Qiming, Dow Jones Organizations: People's Bank of China, China News Service, Getty Images China, Service, Getty, PPI, Nikkei, People's Bank of Locations: Beijing, China, Asia, Pacific, U.S, Chicago, Osaka, People's Bank of China, Australia
CNBC Daily Open: No news is good news for Wall Street
  + stars: | 2024-03-07 | by ( Sumathi Bala | ) www.cnbc.com   time to read: +2 min
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Stocks regain groundWall Street ended Wednesday's session higher, snapping a two-day losing streak. [PRO] India's promising ETFsTapping India's promising market isn't as straightforward for foreign investors as buying shares listed on the Indian stock exchanges. Portfolio managers highlight one of the simplest routes is through ETFs that specifically track indexes comprised of Indian stocks.
Persons: Jerome Powell, Jerome Powell's, Powell, Shane Jones, who's, Gongsheng Organizations: Federal Reserve, New York Stock Exchange, CNBC, Dow, Nasdaq, Capitol, Microsoft, People's Bank of China Locations: New York City, U.S, China
China's central bank governor said there was room to further cut banks' reserve requirements, and pledged to utilize monetary policy to prop up consumer prices. BEIJING — China's central bank governor said there was room to further cut banks' reserve requirements, and pledged to utilize monetary policy to "mildly" prop up consumer prices. This is part of Beijing's broader economic policy "adjustments" so the economy can hit its growth target of around 5% for the year, while adhering to a 3% fiscal deficit. For investors in the near term, the primary concern remains how much China's policymakers are focused on ensuring growth. "If China's economy encounters unexpected shocks in the future, or the international environment undergoes unexpected changes, we still have tools in reserve in our policy toolbox," he said.
Persons: Gongsheng, Huang Shouhong Organizations: People's Bank of, State, CNBC Locations: BEIJING, People's Bank of China, China
(Photo by WANG Zhao / AFP) (Photo by WANG ZHAO/AFP via Getty Images)BEIJING — China's top securities regulator vowed to "strictly" crack down on market manipulators, while stating that protecting small investors was a "core task." Wu outlined measures deemed necessary to improve the quality of listed companies and increase returns on investment. They include: encouraging listed companies to improve stability, timeliness and predictability of dividend payouts, stricter delisting rules, and expanding inspections of listed companies. "China's market is the second largest in the world, but it's not as strong," Wu said, adding the recent market volatility exposed deep-seated issues. At the same press conference, Pan Gongsheng, governor of the People's Bank of China, also pledged support for overseas listings for high-quality Chinese companies.
Persons: Wu Qing, WANG Zhao, WANG ZHAO, Wu, it's, Pan Gongsheng Organizations: China Securities Regulatory Commission, National People's Congress, Getty Images, People's Bank of Locations: China, Beijing, AFP, BEIJING, People's Bank of China
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailChina's fiscal policy is 'increasingly more important,' economist saysWei Yao, head of research and chief economist for Asia-Pacific at Société Générale, discusses the People's Bank of China's decision to cut the country's benchmark five-year loan prime rate for the first time since June, and the limitations the central bank faces in stimulating the economy.
Persons: Wei Yao, Générale Organizations: People's Bank Locations: Asia
Photo taken on January 21, 2024 shows a real estate project under construction in Huai 'an city, Jiangsu province, China. CFOTO | Future Publishing | Getty ImagesPolicymakers are doing little to soothe concerns surrounding China's ailing economy, Brian McCarthy, chief strategist at Macrolens told CNBC's "Street Signs Asia" on Wednesday. The latest monetary policy announcement from the People's Bank of China (PBOC) saw the central bank cut the benchmark 5-year loan prime rate by 25 basis points earlier this week. Many observers saw the move as an effort to boost the country's struggling property market, as the majority of mortgages are pegged to this rate. The 5-year loan prime rate cut was a more "aggressive" move within these decisions, he added.
Persons: Huai, Brian McCarthy, Macrolens, CNBC's, Wei Yao, Générale, stabler, McCarthy Organizations: Getty, People's Bank of China, CSI Locations: Jiangsu province, China, Asia
This report is from today's CNBC Daily Open, our international markets newsletter. CNBC Daily Open brings investors up to speed on everything they need to know, no matter where they are. Alibaba's overseas betChinese e-commerce giant Alibaba Group is placing its bets on overseas businesses as domestic growth remains weak. The company's latest earnings showed its international e-commerce business unit was a bright spot, with revenue up 44% from a year ago. [PRO] UBS picks 'hidden gems'Small-and medium-sized stocks are often overlooked but "have the charm of being hidden gems," according to UBS.
Persons: Hong Organizations: CNBC, People's Bank of China, CSI, Nasdaq, Dow Jones, Home Depot, Walmart, Alibaba, Citi, Discover Financial Services, UBS Locations: Chicago, China, Asia, U.S, Europe
China's lenders cut the country's benchmark five-year loan prime rate for the first time since June, extending Beijing's efforts to revive the country's anemic property market. The Chinese central bank kept its one-year loan prime rate — the peg for most household and corporate loans in China — unchanged at 3.45%. The benchmark five-year loan rate — the peg for most mortgages — was cut by 25 basis points to 3.95%, according to a statement Tuesday from the People's Bank of China. This was also the largest one-time cut in the five-year rate and the first since the five-year rate was last trimmed in June by 10 basis points. China calculates its loan prime rates each month after 20 designated commercial lenders submit their proposed rates to the PBOC.
Persons: Louise Loo, Loo, CNBC's Lee Ying Shan Organizations: People's Bank of China, Oxford Economics, Sunday Locations: China, Beijing
Brent Lewin | Bloomberg | Getty ImagesThe U.S. Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates later this year and, while that may not be good news for the dollar , some Asian currencies stand to benefit. Higher interest rates boost a country's currency, attracting foreign investment and increasing demand for the country's currency. A weak U.S. dollar is generally positive for emerging markets, which is often the case when the Fed cuts interest rates outside of an economic crisis. Experts told CNBC currencies such as the Chinese yuan , the Korean won and the Indian rupee stand to benefit from the Fed loosening monetary policy. So those are also positive for the Indian currency," said Anindya Banerjee, vice president of currency and derivatives research at Kotak Securities.
Persons: Mahatma Gandhi, Brent Lewin, Yuan, Arun Bharath, Bharath, Simon Harvey ​, , Anindya Banerjee, Banerjee, South Korea's, Monex's Harvey Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, . Federal, CNBC, Korean, Bel Air Investment Advisors, People's Bank of, FX, U.S, Kotak Securities, Bank of, Korea's, South Locations: Bangkok, Thailand, China, People's Bank of China, U.S, Bank of India, India, Europe, America
A man walks past the People's Bank of China (PBOC) building on Dec. 25, 2023 in Beijing, China. China's central bank left a key policy rate unchanged as expected on Sunday when rolling over maturing medium-term loans, with uncertainties around the timing of an easing by the Federal Reserve limiting Beijing's room to maneuver on monetary policy. China's central bank left a key policy rate unchanged as expected on Sunday when rolling over maturing medium-term loans, with uncertainties around the timing of an easing by the Federal Reserve limiting Beijing's room to maneuver on monetary policy. But any aggressive monetary movement risks reviving depreciation pressure on the Chinese currency and capital outflows. Sunday's operation was meant to "maintain banking system liquidity reasonably ample," the central bank said in an online statement.
Organizations: People's Bank of China, Federal Reserve Locations: Beijing, China, outflows
Stock markets in China rose as traders returned from a long holiday on Monday to upbeat travel data, while Hong Kong stocks fell. The CSI 300 added 0.3% as trading resumed following the Lunar New Year holidays that saw consumer spending jump higher than pre-Covid levels, according to official data. Tourism stocks led the gains, jumping 2% shortly after the open. The People's Bank of China on Sunday held a key policy rate steady as expected, as markets reassess when the U.S. Federal Reserve might start easing its monetary policy this year. China's central bank said it was holding the rate unchanged at 2.5% on 500 billion yuan ($69.51 billion) worth of one-year medium-term lending facility.
Persons: Wang Yi, Antony Blinken Organizations: CSI, People's Bank of China, Sunday, U.S . Federal, China's, U.S Locations: China, Hong Kong, China's, United States, Beijing, Washington
European markets are set to start the new trading week on a negative note, changing course after largely positive sentiment last week. In Asia-Pacific overnight, stock markets in China rose as traders returned from the Lunar New Year holidays on Monday to upbeat travel data, while Hong Kong stocks fell. The People's Bank of China on Sunday held a key policy rate steady as expected, as markets reassessed when the U.S. Federal Reserve might start easing its monetary policy this year. U.S. markets are closed Monday for Presidents Day.
Organizations: People's Bank of China, Sunday, U.S . Federal Locations: Asia, Pacific, China, Hong Kong
"I don't think you can treat the world's second-largest economy as either an alternative investment or un-investable, that would be wide of the mark," Bilton said. Uncertainty around monetary policy and a shrinking labor force are further causes for concern, Bilton noted. Some analysts saw this as potential dovish policy shift from the PBOC, which has appeared reluctant to take measures that could boost the struggling economy. Financial bodies including the International Monetary Fund have called for further monetary policy reforms since then. IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva told CNBC this week that China had been advised to make use of more of its available fiscal and monetary policy space.
Persons: Raul Ariano, John Bilton, CNBC's, Bilton, Kristalina Georgieva Organizations: Bloomberg, Getty, JPMorgan Asset Management, People's Bank of, International Monetary Fund, IMF, CNBC Locations: Yuyuan, Shanghai, China, People's Bank of China
BEIJING — China is encouraging banks and local businesses to accept foreign bank cards and is considering other steps to make mobile pay for international visitors even easier, said Zhang Qingsong, deputy governor of the People's Bank of China. "Banks and vendors (such as hotels, restaurants, department stores and even coffee shops) are encouraged to accept foreign bankcards," Zhang said. Shopping malls have increasingly preferred not to accept foreign credit cards. Last summer, the two dominant mobile pay apps WeChat and AliPay started allowing verified users to connect their international credit cards — such as those from Visa . "Now, when using Alipay or WeChat Pay, foreign visitors do not need to provide ID information if their total annual transaction volume is under $500," he said.
Persons: Zhang Qingsong, Banks, Zhang, that's, AliPay, Tencent Organizations: Beijing Capital Airport, Visa, Mastercard, People's Bank of China, CNBC, Mobile, Alibaba, Ant Locations: BEIJING — China, Beijing, China
China's economy has crawled out of the pandemic far below the pace of what most analysts expected, and if policymakers don't step in with sufficient support in 2024, a "debt-deflation spiral" could ensue. Deflation and falling stocksThe researchers said China's leadership has failed to address the lopsided supply and demand dynamics in particular. Meanwhile, deflation has crushed corporate earnings and stock prices in China, as well as wage growth and tax revenues. Nominal GDP grew at 4.6% in 2023, 0.6 points below real growth. "The economy could fall into a debt-deflation spiral without adequate policy support."
Persons: Gene Ma, Phoebe Feng, Ma, Feng, Banks Organizations: Wall Street, Institute of International Finance, CSI, People's Bank of Locations: China, Beijing, People's Bank of China
Chinese financial authorities have been striving to prop up the country's stocks through various measures, including steps aimed at increasing the liquidity in the market, warnings against malpractices and falling back on proverbs. With the onshore markets already erasing gains after the People's Bank of China announced steps to boost liquidity last month, there are doubts whether this familiar Beijing playbook will have a meaningful impact on markets. On Tuesday, Central Huijin, a unit of the mammoth sovereign wealth fund China Investment Corporation, said it had expanded purchases of exchange-traded funds linked to the country's onshore stocks to safeguard market stability. China Securities Regulatory Commission had also warned Monday against "malicious" short-selling and said it would step up scrutiny of margin financing following a volatile trading session. On Sunday it had assured to protect the interests of investors after onshore markets plunged as much as 3% before paring losses Friday.
Organizations: People's Bank of China, China Investment Corporation, China Securities Regulatory Commission Locations: Beijing, China
Chinese stocks have given up much of their recent gains as investors debate whether the bottom is really in. They screened for names with more than $1 billion in capitalization and expectations for earnings growth in the next two years. Such signals come at a time when Chinese stocks have sold off sharply. Chinese stocks – whether measured by those that trade in the mainland, Hong Kong or U.S. – have fallen for more than two years. "In the past Chinese companies grew rapidly, many companies' results grew exponentially," he said in Mandarin, translated by CNBC.
Persons: Evercore, Rachel Wang, Clocktower, Ye Yuhua, — CNBC's Michael Bloom Organizations: People's Bank of China, Seng Index, Shanghai, Morningstar, CNBC, Baidu, Li Auto Locations: U.S, Beijing, Hong Kong, China, Shanghai, Guangzhou
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